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Red59
48558.1
387517.1
52488.9
Blue51
506919.6
24415.8
495615.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374101001502005951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#14
17.11.7
11.212.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 2.5
5069
#13
19.61.2
11.813.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5248
#39
8.91.7
13.715.4
Auto0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
244
#32
15.81.2
16.417.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4855
#33
8.11.7
14.015.6
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 7.1
4956
#17
15.21.2
14.015.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0