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Red26
376715.9
55747.7
24415.8
Blue33
495615.2
496737.8
38867.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26590501001502633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#18
15.90.6
9.18.5
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 21.9
37.82.0
27.725.7
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Second
244
#32
15.80.6
17.216.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
4956
#17
15.22.0
15.213.3
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
5574
#36
7.70.6
6.35.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0
red by 0.4
3886
#29
7.32.0
13.611.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0