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Red53
28813.8
295931.6
21610.7
Blue12
55747.7
57459.0
387517.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4619060801001201405312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
31.60.8
20.221.0
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 14.5
3875
#14
17.11.0
14.213.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
288
#20
13.80.8
12.513.3
Auto1.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 4.7
5745
#24
9.01.0
4.33.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
216
#38
10.70.8
10.511.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
5574
#36
7.71.0
5.84.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0