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Red46
547313.4
376715.9
240511.3
Blue84
51619.3
496737.8
362036.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21630501001504684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#18
15.92.5
8.010.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 21.9
37.82.1
25.727.8
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Second
5473
#15
13.42.5
13.115.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 22.6
36.02.1
27.329.4
Auto1.9
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
2405
#26
11.32.5
7.19.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 2.0
5161
#30
9.32.1
5.98.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0