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Red7
521313.5
448214.3
566415.3
Blue47
52488.9
52555.0
295931.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353401020304050607080747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5664
#23
15.30.9
9.68.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 16.2
2959
#12
31.60.9
21.021.9
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
4482
#27
14.30.9
11.010.1
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 5.3
5248
#39
8.90.9
10.611.5
Auto0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Third
5213
#19
13.50.9
15.214.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 8.5
5255
#40
5.00.9
4.55.4
Auto0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0