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Red91
323425.5
506919.6
205437.1
Blue79
547313.4
48558.1
276735.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555101001509179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.12.9
24.927.8
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 1.9
35.22.2
27.229.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Second
3234
#10
25.52.9
17.620.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 12.1
5473
#15
13.42.2
15.617.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
5069
#13
19.62.9
14.016.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 11.5
4855
#33
8.12.2
10.312.5
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0