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Red32
51619.3
387517.1
567423.8
Blue5
50569.7
438124.9
24415.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31410206080100120140325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.3
12.813.1
Auto0.0
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4381
#11
24.93.0
16.513.6
Auto0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
3875
#14
17.10.3
13.213.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 1.2
244
#32
15.83.0
15.012.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
5161
#30
9.30.3
8.08.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5056
#34
9.73.0
9.16.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0