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Red50
323425.5
495615.2
548611.0
Blue58
547022.0
566415.3
506919.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060801001205058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#10
25.50.7
20.421.2
Auto0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 3.4
22.01.5
14.115.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
4956
#17
15.20.7
15.916.6
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5069
#13
19.61.5
16.918.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5486
#21
11.00.7
4.85.6
Auto0.8
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5664
#23
15.31.5
8.710.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.7
End0.0