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Red5
28813.8
50569.7
43379.4
Blue75
276735.2
7413.1
295931.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19690406080100120140160575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#20
13.81.8
15.513.6
Auto1.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 21.5
35.20.9
29.330.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Second
5056
#34
9.71.8
6.24.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 21.8
2959
#12
31.60.9
21.922.9
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
4337
#31
9.41.8
5.53.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 3.7
74
#28
13.10.9
12.413.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0