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Red22
52466.2
207525.6
295931.6
Blue103
205437.1
362036.0
276735.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4668010015022103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
31.62.4
26.023.6
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 5.6
37.13.0
26.229.2
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
25.62.4
15.813.4
Auto1.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 10.4
36.03.0
18.021.0
Auto1.9
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
5246
#37
6.22.4
8.96.5
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 29.0
35.23.0
22.625.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.4
End0.0