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Red1
28813.8
548611.0
38867.3
Blue70
52466.2
205437.1
258615.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31410206080100120140170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#20
13.82.5
13.110.6
Auto1.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 23.3
37.12.3
28.530.8
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
5486
#21
11.02.5
7.04.5
Auto0.8
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 4.2
2586
#16
15.22.3
7.710.0
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
3886
#29
7.32.5
13.210.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0
red by 1.1
5246
#37
6.22.3
4.56.8
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0