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Red109
496737.8
52555.0
567423.8
Blue58
506919.6
51619.3
43379.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437020608010012014010958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.85.0
24.129.1
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 18.2
5069
#13
19.62.9
21.524.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
23.85.0
16.221.2
Auto0.0
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 14.5
4337
#31
9.42.9
9.112.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
5255
#40
5.05.0
4.49.4
Auto0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5161
#30
9.32.9
8.711.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0