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Red15
56227.8
448214.3
50569.7
Blue8
323425.5
376715.9
258615.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29420100150158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#27
14.31.4
11.29.8
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 11.2
3234
#10
25.52.3
17.615.3
Auto0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
5056
#34
9.71.4
12.110.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 6.2
3767
#18
15.92.3
11.49.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
5622
#35
7.82.0
9.17.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 7.5
2586
#16
15.22.3
12.710.4
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0