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Red76
362036.0
323425.5
387517.1
Blue81
496737.8
57459.0
521313.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744201001507681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.3
32.833.1
Auto1.9
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 1.8
37.82.1
31.433.6
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Second
3234
#10
25.50.3
19.920.1
Auto0.2
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 11.9
5213
#19
13.52.1
11.113.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
3875
#14
17.10.3
19.419.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 8.0
5745
#24
9.02.1
6.38.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.0