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Red6
56227.8
55747.7
258615.2
Blue12
345813.3
52466.2
506919.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253906080100120140160612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#16
15.21.5
13.512.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5069
#13
19.61.4
21.720.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5622
#35
7.81.5
8.57.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 5.6
3458
#25
13.31.4
11.09.7
Auto1.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5574
#36
7.71.5
6.14.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0
red by 1.5
5246
#37
6.21.4
5.54.2
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0