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Red26
295931.6
547313.4
387517.1
Blue0
38867.3
8539.4
48558.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60550100150260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
31.61.9
25.723.7
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
85
#3
39.43.4
37.934.5
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
3875
#14
17.11.8
19.717.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 9.0
4855
#33
8.13.2
10.37.1
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
Third
5473
#15
13.41.9
15.813.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 6.1
3886
#29
7.33.4
9.56.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0