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Red15
448214.3
506919.6
52555.0
Blue78
295931.6
38867.3
50569.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433202060801001201578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5069
#13
19.61.7
20.418.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 12.0
2959
#12
31.62.6
23.726.4
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
4482
#27
14.31.7
14.112.4
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 4.5
5056
#34
9.72.6
5.48.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
5255
#40
5.01.7
8.16.4
Auto0.0
Teleop5.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3886
#29
7.32.6
6.08.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0