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Red107
205437.1
362036.0
448214.3
Blue49
207525.6
567423.8
495615.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816105010015010749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.4
35.035.5
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
25.60.3
26.225.9
Auto1.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
36.00.4
34.034.4
Auto1.9
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 12.2
23.80.3
24.424.1
Auto0.0
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
4482
#27
14.30.4
12.212.6
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4956
#17
15.20.3
15.715.4
Auto0.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0