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Red67
8539.4
496737.8
24415.8
Blue112
295931.6
438124.9
571024.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946305015020067112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#3
39.40.4
39.338.8
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 7.8
2959
#12
31.60.7
27.828.5
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
37.80.4
37.737.3
Auto1.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 12.9
4381
#11
24.90.7
21.221.9
Auto0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
244
#32
15.80.4
15.715.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 9.0
5710
#22
24.90.7
21.121.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0