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Red118
233743.7
31445.6
578414.1
Blue113
7030.2
553328.2
520114.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10562050150200250118113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
45.60.4
45.345.6
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 15.5
70
#4
30.20.7
29.530.2
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
43.70.4
43.343.7
Auto8.2
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 15.5
28.20.7
27.528.2
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
5784
#20
14.10.4
13.814.1
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5201
#21
14.50.7
13.814.5
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0