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Red4
56125.1
89415.0
52356.6
Blue20
52347.4
260415.9
528216.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24270406080100120140160420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#17
15.01.8
9.57.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5282
#10
16.90.6
12.511.9
Auto2.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Second
5235
#37
6.61.8
8.16.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 9.3
15.90.6
8.07.4
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
5612
#36
5.11.8
7.65.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5234
#24
7.40.4
6.86.4
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0