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Red45
553328.2
171120.9
89415.0
Blue68
56607.5
520114.5
546015.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3621060801001201404568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.22.8
12.615.5
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 12.3
5460
#13
15.93.6
6.510.2
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Second
1711
#18
20.92.8
14.417.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 6.3
5201
#21
14.53.6
11.114.7
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
894
#17
15.02.8
7.810.6
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 7.5
5660
#27
7.53.6
6.810.5
Auto-1.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0