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Red53
56949.0
525115.2
521511.2
Blue50
553328.2
52347.4
54877.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162704060801001201405350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.22.9
8.211.1
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 13.0
28.22.0
15.517.5
Auto0.8
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
5215
#25
11.22.9
7.19.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 3.8
5234
#24
7.41.2
7.99.1
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
5694
#28
9.02.9
3.36.2
Auto1.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
5487
#33
7.32.0
2.64.6
Auto0.6
Teleop6.7
End0.0