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Red69
521511.2
31445.6
353416.3
Blue13
499813.0
56607.5
51509.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5424040801001201406913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
45.61.5
25.627.0
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 32.6
4998
#19
13.00.9
12.211.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
3534
#15
16.31.5
16.017.4
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 6.9
5150
#30
9.30.9
9.08.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
Third
5215
#25
11.21.5
9.911.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 3.7
5660
#27
7.50.9
8.57.6
Auto-1.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0