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Red29
499813.0
501712.0
353511.5
Blue6
3222.6
52347.4
56607.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392106080100120296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4998
#19
13.00.7
11.310.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
5660
#27
7.51.5
7.66.1
Auto-1.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Second
5017
#22
12.00.7
10.29.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 4.6
5234
#24
7.40.9
7.97.0
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
3535
#31
11.50.7
16.315.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 8.8
322
#40
2.61.5
8.77.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop3.3
End0.0