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Red36
124314.1
520114.5
7030.2
Blue8
171120.9
132220.6
150617.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49380206080100120368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#4
30.21.1
21.720.6
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 9.3
1711
#18
20.92.7
14.011.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
5201
#21
14.51.1
15.114.0
Auto1.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 6.0
20.62.7
15.712.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
1243
#14
14.10.7
12.511.8
Auto0.7
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 3.4
1506
#16
17.52.7
11.28.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0