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Red32
52347.4
551719.1
515517.5
Blue29
528216.9
55272.8
56418.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312404060801003229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#12
19.10.1
14.614.7
Auto1.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 2.1
5282
#10
16.90.3
12.312.6
Auto2.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Second
5155
#11
17.50.1
9.19.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 9.4
5641
#34
8.10.3
6.56.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
5234
#24
7.40.1
7.07.1
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 4.6
5527
#38
2.80.3
7.17.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.8
End0.0