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Red49
56949.0
132220.6
552421.6
Blue64
525115.2
578414.1
499813.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432602060801001201404964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.3
22.022.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 6.4
15.22.7
11.314.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
20.60.5
14.515.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
5784
#20
14.12.7
9.111.8
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
5694
#28
9.00.5
5.66.1
Auto1.2
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4998
#19
13.02.7
9.412.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0