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Red18
55272.8
132220.6
52347.4
Blue0
89415.0
260415.9
521511.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25330406080100120180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.7
15.114.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.7
15.91.5
12.010.5
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
5234
#24
7.40.5
6.96.4
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 7.6
894
#17
15.01.5
9.07.5
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5527
#38
2.80.7
5.64.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 8.4
5215
#25
11.21.5
12.110.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0