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Red138
132220.6
233743.7
89415.0
Blue58
52269.6
168411.4
54877.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59190408010012014016013858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.75.5
33.038.5
Auto8.2
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 32.3
1684
#35
11.42.1
10.812.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
20.65.5
14.419.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 11.0
5226
#23
9.62.1
8.210.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
894
#17
15.05.5
7.513.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 7.7
5487
#33
7.32.1
7.29.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.7
End0.0