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Red26
52347.4
353416.3
353511.5
Blue90
515517.5
7030.2
89415.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305201001502690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#15
16.30.5
14.013.5
Auto0.9
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 13.9
70
#4
30.22.4
26.128.5
Auto5.8
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
3535
#31
11.50.5
12.411.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 6.0
5155
#11
17.52.4
11.513.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5234
#24
7.40.4
8.58.0
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 7.6
894
#17
15.02.4
13.115.5
Auto2.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0