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Red58
546015.9
523810.7
578414.1
Blue58
124314.1
499419.0
499813.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264002060801005858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#13
15.91.7
12.814.5
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
19.01.1
15.917.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
5784
#20
14.11.7
9.110.9
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Level
1243
#14
14.10.9
11.512.4
Auto0.7
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
5238
#26
10.71.7
7.69.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4998
#19
13.01.1
12.113.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0