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Red70
171120.9
501712.0
521511.2
Blue129
525115.2
515517.5
31445.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286905010015020070129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#18
20.91.9
16.718.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 24.7
314
#1
45.63.5
39.843.3
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Second
5017
#22
12.01.9
10.112.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 5.5
5155
#11
17.53.5
13.917.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5215
#25
11.21.9
9.111.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 4.0
15.23.5
11.515.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0