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Red17
168411.4
150617.5
52347.4
Blue51
552421.6
499419.0
56607.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354502060801001201401601751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#16
17.51.1
16.915.8
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 4.2
21.60.3
20.921.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
1684
#35
11.41.1
12.611.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 7.6
19.00.3
17.017.4
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
5234
#24
7.41.0
8.07.0
Auto0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5660
#27
7.50.3
7.27.5
Auto-1.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0