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Red120
233743.7
31445.6
578414.1
Blue101
171120.9
551719.1
56418.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10730050150200250120101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
45.60.4
44.144.4
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 24.7
1711
#18
20.91.0
19.220.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
43.70.4
42.142.5
Auto8.2
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 24.6
5517
#12
19.11.0
17.418.4
Auto1.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5784
#20
14.10.4
12.612.9
Auto0.6
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 6.1
5641
#34
8.11.0
6.47.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop8.6
End0.0