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Red58
150617.5
499419.0
523810.7
Blue87
171120.9
551719.1
56418.1
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442060801005887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.2
18.819.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1711
#18
20.90.7
20.220.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
1506
#16
17.50.2
17.317.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5517
#12
19.10.7
18.419.1
Auto1.9
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5238
#26
10.70.2
10.510.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
5641
#34
8.10.7
7.48.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop8.6
End0.0