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Red76
477619.2
150232.2
366712.7
Blue68
70330.7
546029.6
353524.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606801001502002503003504007668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
32.032.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 1.5
703
#11
30.70.0
25.425.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
19.20.2
18.919.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 10.5
29.60.0
24.324.3
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
3667
#23
12.70.2
12.512.7
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 12.1
3535
#17
24.70.0
19.419.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0