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Red42
31479.2
570413.6
566116.8
Blue38
526031.9
440810.4
546029.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98380501504238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
79.22.5
65.563.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop79.5
End0.0
red by 47.3
31.90.6
22.421.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
5661
#12
16.82.5
11.89.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 12.8
29.60.6
15.915.4
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
5704
#39
13.62.5
14.812.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
4408
#31
10.40.6
10.810.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.6
End0.0