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Red60
555922.5
6848.7
3223.7
Blue8
569715.8
570413.6
544711.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4635020406080100608

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#2
48.70.7
24.525.2
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 32.9
5697
#18
15.81.5
14.813.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
5559
#25
22.50.7
18.819.6
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 8.9
5704
#39
13.61.5
13.712.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
322
#40
3.70.7
2.33.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5447
#37
11.81.5
9.68.1
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0