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Red122
566116.8
526031.9
553325.2
Blue75
523513.0
555922.5
365513.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5834020408010012012275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.93.3
22.525.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 9.4
5559
#25
22.52.1
19.621.6
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
5533
#21
25.23.3
25.729.0
Auto0.6
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 12.1
5235
#24
13.02.1
7.39.4
Auto0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5661
#12
16.83.3
8.211.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 3.9
3655
#27
13.02.1
12.414.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0