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Red24
370715.9
3223.7
569715.8
Blue28
16849.7
526031.9
353524.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304702060801001201401602428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#29
15.90.5
17.016.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 16.0
31.90.9
25.824.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
5697
#18
15.80.5
13.613.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 8.9
3535
#17
24.70.9
11.410.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
322
#40
3.70.5
3.12.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 6.0
1684
#34
9.70.9
8.77.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0