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Red0
567612.1
52337.3
570413.6
Blue118
566116.8
52057.7
6848.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224904060801001201401600118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5704
#39
13.61.0
11.410.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 35.1
68
#2
48.73.6
27.931.4
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
5676
#28
12.11.0
11.510.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5661
#12
16.83.6
12.115.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
5233
#38
7.31.0
4.02.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5205
#30
7.73.6
6.410.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.9
End0.0