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Red10
356820.9
528217.7
525118.6
Blue43
553325.2
477619.2
546029.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515801001502002503003501043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3568
#22
20.91.9
24.422.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 8.7
29.60.8
19.618.8
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
5251
#20
18.61.9
13.111.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5533
#21
25.20.8
29.228.5
Auto0.6
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
5282
#16
17.71.9
16.214.3
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 1.4
19.20.8
9.99.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0