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Red26
508413.4
546029.6
3223.7
Blue86
544711.8
523513.0
6848.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325801001502002686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.6
21.220.6
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 19.1
68
#2
48.71.5
33.735.2
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
Second
5084
#26
13.40.6
10.810.3
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
5235
#24
13.01.5
10.211.7
Auto0.0
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
322
#40
3.70.6
5.14.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5447
#37
11.81.5
11.813.4
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0