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Red16
354626.2
544711.8
566116.8
Blue27
531625.7
52057.7
499811.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801001201401627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#14
26.22.2
27.225.0
Auto1.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
5316
#13
25.71.1
24.823.7
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0
Second
5661
#12
16.82.2
18.216.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 5.8
4998
#36
11.01.1
13.712.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
5447
#37
11.82.2
14.111.9
Auto0.0
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 4.2
5205
#30
7.71.1
10.08.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.9
End0.0