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Red73
421625.8
366712.7
52337.3
Blue13
567612.1
528217.7
3223.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33301020405060707313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.82.0
22.524.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 8.1
5282
#16
17.70.6
16.015.4
Auto1.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
3667
#23
12.72.0
7.29.2
Auto0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 0.6
5676
#28
12.10.6
11.911.3
Auto0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
5233
#38
7.32.0
3.95.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 3.5
322
#40
3.70.6
3.32.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.0