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Red51
477619.2
421625.8
569715.8
Blue14
150232.2
365513.0
16849.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60542040801005114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.5
24.524.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
32.22.2
33.731.5
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
19.20.5
20.920.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 6.2
3655
#27
13.02.2
14.912.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
5697
#18
15.80.5
15.615.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
1684
#34
9.72.2
8.56.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0