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Red94
421625.8
354626.2
353524.7
Blue62
555922.5
30832.6
567612.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65632040801001209462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3546
#14
26.21.7
24.326.0
Auto1.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
308
#10
32.60.3
32.332.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
Second
25.81.7
24.025.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 3.3
5559
#25
22.50.3
22.822.5
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
3535
#17
24.71.7
17.118.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 12.7
5676
#28
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto0.4
Teleop11.7
End0.0