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Red132
353632.2
85845.1
553325.2
Blue126
70330.7
546029.6
353524.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10263050150200132126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#3
45.10.5
44.344.8
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 14.4
703
#11
30.70.9
26.327.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
32.20.5
31.431.9
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 2.6
29.60.9
25.226.1
Auto0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
5533
#21
25.20.5
24.324.9
Auto0.6
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
3535
#17
24.70.9
20.421.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0