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Red138
6848.7
31479.2
16849.7
Blue120
353632.2
85845.1
553325.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369150150200250138120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#1
79.20.1
77.877.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop79.5
End0.0
red by 34.1
858
#3
45.10.3
44.845.1
Auto0.5
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Second
68
#2
48.70.1
47.447.5
Auto0.3
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 16.5
32.20.3
31.932.2
Auto0.9
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
1684
#34
9.70.1
8.48.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 15.4
5533
#21
25.20.3
24.925.2
Auto0.6
Teleop24.6
End0.0